Birkirkara vs Mosta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 1
BIR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 1
HAM
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 4
BIR
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
BIR
4 - 0
SAI
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
KRA
3 - 1
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 1
GZI
36%
25%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HIB
3 - 1
MOS
79%
13%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 1
VAL
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 2
MOS
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 5
PAT
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |