Birkirkara vs Mosta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 4
BIR
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 2
VAL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 2
BIR
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
4 - 0
NAX
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HIB
2 - 1
BIR
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 2
SLI
49%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 3
MOS
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 0
QOR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FLO
1 - 2
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 0
GZI
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |