Birkirkara vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
SLI
2 - 3
BIR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 2
BIR
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
3 - 2
HAM
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 1
QOR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAR
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 3
MAR
23%
20%
57%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
HIB
4 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
FLO
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLI
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |