Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 0-2
Birkirkara vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
TAR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOS
0 - 0
BIR
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 1
BIR
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
SLI
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZAV
66%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
OLI
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
ALU
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
RUD
3 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |