UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Birkirkara vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
HIB
0 - 2
BIR
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 1
MSI
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SLI
1 - 1
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 3
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 0
VAL
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
NKI
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCK
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NKN
0 - 4
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
NKP
57%
24%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
FCK
2 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |