Birkirkara vs Lija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ZEJ
0 - 3
BIR
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BIR
4 - 1
LIJ
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 1
BIR
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SLU
0 - 0
BIR
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
SIR
2 - 4
BIR
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LIJ
1 - 1
BAL
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LIJ
2 - 0
TAR
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BIR
4 - 1
LIJ
74%
16%
9%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 2
LIJ
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LIJ
0 - 1
GUD
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |