Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Birkirkara vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
BIR
4 - 3
SCO
44%
24%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
SCO
0 - 3
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
VAL
4 - 2
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
BIR
1 - 0
TAR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
HIB
4 - 5
BIR
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 1
SBR
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
DUK
1 - 1
ZIL
41%
29%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZIL
4 - 0
DAC
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
DUB
1 - 1
ZIL
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 0
TAT
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |