Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
BIR
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
BIR
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 1
GUD
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
BIR
35%
28%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 0
SLU
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
BIR
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
HAM
33%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 1
HAM
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 0
SIR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |