Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
BIR
3 - 0
PIE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 0
BIR
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SEN
0 - 2
BIR
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 1
QOR
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
NAD
0 - 4
BIR
9%
18%
74%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
GZI
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HAM
2 - 2
ASS
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
FLO
1 - 1
HAM
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
HAM
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HAM
3 - 2
PIE
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |