Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 2
BIR
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BIR
2 - 0
SAI
70%
20%
11%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GZI
1 - 1
BIR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BIR
0 - 0
FLO
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
BIR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
HIB
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SLI
2 - 1
HAM
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HAM
0 - 1
MOS
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HAM
3 - 0
TAR
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAI
0 - 3
HAM
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |