Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BIR
3 - 0
TAR
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 5
FLO
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SLI
3 - 3
BIR
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 4
BIR
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
5 - 0
HAM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAM
2 - 4
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 4
TAR
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 0
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
BIR
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |