Birkirkara vs Gzira United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
GUD
1 - 1
BIR
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
HAM
4 - 0
BIR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 0
HAM
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAX
2 - 0
BIR
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
GZI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 4
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 3
GZI
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 1
VAL
51%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SLI
1 - 0
GZI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |