Birkirkara vs Balzan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
HIB
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BIR
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
SIR
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 2
FLO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
HIB
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
BAL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
SLU
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SLI
1 - 0
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GZI
1 - 1
BAL
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |