Birkirkara vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2005 |
BIR
2 - 1
MSI
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
SLI
4 - 5
BIR
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BIR
6 - 3
VAL
56%
22%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
BIR
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BIR
3 - 1
SLI
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
APO
4 - 0
OLY
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
DIG
3 - 1
APO
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
APO
0 - 0
APO
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
APO
0 - 0
DIG
78%
15%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AEL
1 - 1
APO
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |