Birkenhead United vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
8º
1º
4
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
BIR
78%
13%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECB
3 - 0
BIR
19%
17%
64%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TCU
3 - 2
BIR
36%
20%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
4 - 2
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 4
BIR
30%
21%
49%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 4
CAS
16%
16%
68%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WSU
1 - 2
NAP
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
PET
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |