Birkenhead United vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
BIR
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
BIR
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
5 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
BIR
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
AUC
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
AFC
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 2
AUC
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 1
AFC
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHR
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |