Birkelse vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
85.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
13%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 3
VEJ
8%
14%
78%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 9
VEN
7%
14%
79%
|
5 | 62 | 57 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 3
AAL
11%
17%
73%
|
6 | 34 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
HIR
3 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
THI
0 - 2
LFA
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SIF
0 - 0
THI
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
AAL
0 - 0
THI
8%
12%
81%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
THI
0 - 2
VEJ
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BFR
0 - 0
THI
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |