Birkebeineren vs Valdres FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
2 - 0
KVI
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RAU
3 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 2
FKT
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 2
BIR
50%
23%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
BIR
48%
23%
30%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valdres FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 4
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 3
VAL
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
NYB
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
RAU
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GJO
3 - 2
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |