Birkebeineren vs Holmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JER
9 - 0
BIR
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BIR
2 - 3
20%
22%
59%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIN
6 - 2
BIR
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 2
FKA
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
STR
8 - 1
BIR
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Holmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ODD
4 - 1
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 3
JER
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
6 - 0
HOL
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
HOL
4 - 2
VIN
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +4 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FKA
2 - 3
HOL
68%
17%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |