Birkebeineren vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
ODD
3 - 0
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 3
BIR
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
BIR
2 - 3
JER
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
2 - 2
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
VIN
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
HOL
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
JER
3 - 1
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
VIN
1 - 0
FRA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 1
FKA
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |