Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Binissalem vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binissalem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
PBL
0 - 0
BNS
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BNS
1 - 0
FLN
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SNF
2 - 4
BNS
13%
23%
63%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BNS
0 - 2
CLL
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SRF
2 - 2
BNS
20%
27%
54%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
ACF
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 1
AST
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
SDA
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
AST
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
AST
3 - 1
STM
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |