Binche vs Stockay-Warfusée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
11º
11º
25
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 44 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 31 |
5º
|
68% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 26 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 25 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 24 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 20 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 13 |
12º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 1
BIN
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 2
RCS
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
BIN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 0
BIN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 3
BIN
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stockay-Warfusée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
STO
2 - 1
STL
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SGI
5 - 1
STO
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
OLY
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
TOU
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 2
STO
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |