Binche vs Charleroi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
10º
9º
10
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 40 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 38 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 35 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 33 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 31 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 25 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 24 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
82.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 0
BIN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 3
BIN
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 2
GEN
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
BIN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 2
STL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Charleroi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
0 - 0
RCS
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCS
1 - 0
NAM
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STL
0 - 3
RCS
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RCS
3 - 2
GEN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
TUB
4 - 2
RCS
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |