FA Cup 1/256
Global 6-3
Billericay Town vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 1
BIL
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SLO
3 - 1
BIL
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BIL
4 - 2
BAT
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BIL
2 - 2
DOR
42%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BIL
1 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 1
BIL
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 0
SUT
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 0
STO
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
TOW
2 - 0
SUT
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 2
DAG
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |