Billericay Town vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BIL
0 - 1
HAM
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ENF
2 - 0
BIL
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BIL
1 - 1
ENF
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
BIL
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DUL
1 - 0
BIL
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
VCD
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
SIT
1 - 0
MET
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
SIT
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 1
MET
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
MET
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |