FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-4
Billericay Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HUN
2 - 2
BIL
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
BIL
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
GUL
2 - 2
BIL
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
BIL
3 - 2
EAS
81%
12%
7%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 1
DUL
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAV
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
BIL
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TOW
1 - 1
CHE
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
SUT
1 - 1
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
WRE
26%
27%
48%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |