ND Bilje vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
11º
10º
34
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Bilje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
BIL
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 2
BIL
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIL
1 - 1
TAS
31%
27%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NKP
3 - 1
BIL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BIL
3 - 2
ILI
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 3
BRI
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 0
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 4
TRI
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
FUZ
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |