ND Bilje vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
11º
9º
33
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 44% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Bilje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NDR
0 - 2
BIL
9%
15%
77%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
BIL
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 0
DEK
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
BIL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UDI
5 - 0
BIL
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 2
TAS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 3
ALU
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 0
NKD
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 1
ALK
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |