FC Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
6º
27
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 1
BFM
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 3
AVE
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
BFM
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RCF
2 - 0
BFM
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
RAV
3 - 1
BFM
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 2
VSU
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 2
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 1
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SSS
1 - 0
VSU
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |