FC Fossombrone vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
6º
25
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TER
0 - 1
BFM
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BFM
1 - 1
CHI
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
TER
1 - 0
BFM
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 2
BFM
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
2 - 2
VSU
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SOR
0 - 0
AVE
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
SOR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SOR
0 - 1
RCF
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SOR
2 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SOR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |