FC Fossombrone vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
6º
21
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 3
BFM
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
BFM
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 0
ASD
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 3
BFM
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
TER
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RCF
1 - 0
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
FER
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
VSU
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |