Bijelo Brdo vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
10º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 1
BIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 0
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
4 - 1
BIJ
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 0
BIJ
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIJ
1 - 1
DUB
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
VUK
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 2
DUB
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
4 - 1
BIJ
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZMI
2 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 0
NKD
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |