Bijelo Brdo vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
12º
10º
20
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 32 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
BIJ
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 0
BIJ
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 2
OPA
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUB
3 - 0
BIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 4
HNK
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 1
ZMI
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
ZMI
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NKR
3 - 2
ZMI
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
OPA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
ZMI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |