Biggleswade Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOW
1 - 2
BIG
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BIG
1 - 1
BED
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BIG
0 - 1
BRO
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BIG
3 - 1
HTF
66%
17%
17%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 1
BIG
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ALF
17%
21%
63%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
SCA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
ALF
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |