Big Bul vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Big Bul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MLA
1 - 0
BIG
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BIG
1 - 2
MLA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
BIG
2 - 2
KOL
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TEL
0 - 2
BIG
52%
26%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BIG
1 - 2
RNS
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NPA
3 - 1
TEL
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RNS
3 - 0
NPA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
NPA
1 - 1
SIN
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
DVR
0 - 0
NPA
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NPA
2 - 1
NAP
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |