Biesheim vs Thionville Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
14º
4º
25
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 48 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
BIE
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
BIE
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 1
VHO
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 0
BIE
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
THL
3 - 0
LUS
32%
25%
42%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 1
THL
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
THL
2 - 2
CHA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESW
1 - 1
THL
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THL
1 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |