Biesheim vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
15º
15º
13
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
11 | 59 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 58 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 51 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 39 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 34 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 34 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 32 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
BIE
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 1
VHO
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 0
BIE
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BIE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 0
VHO
69%
18%
12%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 3
LUS
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
ESW
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GOB
1 - 0
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |