Biesheim vs Villers Houlgate CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
15º
11º
4
2º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 61 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 51 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 49 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 38 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 37 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 35 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 30 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 25 |
16º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 0
BIE
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BIE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
BIE
57%
22%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villers Houlgate CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VHO
0 - 1
CHA
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESW
0 - 2
VHO
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 1
VHO
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VHO
3 - 2
DIE
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 1
VHO
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |