UD Bienvenida vs Club Promesas Belenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1024%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bienvenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 2
BIE
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BIE
4 - 0
ATH
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
BIE
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
UDF
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 1
BIE
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Club Promesas Belenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 3
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACE
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 2
BEL
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
BEL
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
CAT
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |