Belarus U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
2 - 0
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 0
IRN
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 21 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 2
BLR
19%
20%
60%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 3
GRC
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
CYP
1 - 3
BLR
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 0
LTU
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
LTU
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |