Biel-Bienne vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BIE
1 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCV
4 - 1
BIE
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 2
WIL
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WOH
2 - 4
BIE
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BIE
4 - 1
LOC
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
THU
0 - 2
DYN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
DYN
3 - 0
THU
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
SIO
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |