Biel-Bienne vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
YVE
0 - 2
BIE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BIE
7 - 1
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LOC
2 - 2
BIE
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
BIE
5 - 0
STA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 3
BIE
35%
23%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FCL
3 - 2
GCZ
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
33%
24%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SIO
4 - 1
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCL
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |