Biel-Bienne vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BIE
3 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 0
BIE
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BIE
2 - 0
WOH
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 2
BIE
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 3
WOH
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCA
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCA
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
22%
24%
55%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |