Bideford vs Malvern Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
59.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BID
0 - 1
MEL
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 2
BID
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BID
1 - 1
WEL
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BID
1 - 1
BEM
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
4 - 3
BID
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Malvern Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 1
CLE
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HIN
2 - 5
MAL
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
MAL
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 3
WUN
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 2
MAL
18%
19%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |