Calcio Padova 2015 vs AC Mezzocorona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Padova 2015
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TAM
2 - 3
BSP
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BSP
2 - 1
MSS
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 4
BSP
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BSP
3 - 0
UPR
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 0
UAR
17%
21%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 0
ACM
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FON
2 - 1
ACM
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |