BFC Siófok vs Nagykanizsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
13º
4º
18
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
16 | 70 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 65 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
18 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 57 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 56 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 25 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 21 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Siófok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
MSE
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 3
BFC
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
KOZ
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 1
BFC
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 2
CSA
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
NAG
20%
19%
61%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MSE
0 - 1
NAG
18%
18%
64%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 1
FER
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 1
NAG
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 1
PAK
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |