BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 3
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 0
FKT
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 2
FSM
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SUP
1 - 0
BFC
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 6
VAL
14%
20%
66%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
7 - 0
SUP
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RIG
2 - 2
VAL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |