BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
5º
29
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
GRO
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |