BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
5º
29
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 2
BFC
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFC
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAS
40%
22%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 1
KUR
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 1
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
GRO
25%
20%
55%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |