BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
35
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
49%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 2
BFC
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FKT
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
PAN
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
5 - 2
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 3
FKT
43%
22%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |